Roshydromet issues flood forecast for Trans-Ural region
In the Trans-Ural region, water levels in the Tobol River may exceed the norm in spring 2026. Such is the forecast from Roshydromet (Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring). The website lists regions where above-normal maximum water levels during spring floods are possible on rivers, including the Tobol in Kurgan Oblast.
The website also shows a table with a preliminary assessment of the deviation of the expected maximum water level from the norm. In it, Kurgan Oblast is marked in red and indicated as “Normal and above normal”.
A difficult situation is expected for our neighbors in Tyumen Oblast, on the Irtysh and Ishim rivers.
The Kurgan Center for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring usually issues its flood forecast in mid-March. In 2024, the water level in the Tobol River in Kurgan reached 1015 cm, while in 2025 it rose to 468 cm (against the forecasted level of 5 meters).
Recall that adverse events occur at the following water levels:
on the Tobol River at Zverinogolovskoye village — at 890 cm above gauge zero;
on the Tobol River in Kurgan — at 700 cm;
on the Uy River at Ust-Uyskoye village — at 550 cm;
on the Iset River in Kataysk — at 560 cm;
on the Iset River in Dalmatovo — at 210 cm;
on the Iset River in Shadrinsk — at 340 cm;
on the Iset River in Mekhonskoye — at 560 cm;
on the Miass River in Kargapolye — at 460 cm.
