February Weather in Krasnodar: Forecasts vs. Folk Signs
February in Krasnodar promises to be changeable: forecasters predict a mild winter with temperatures of +3…+8 °C (37…46 °F) and frequent precipitation, while folk signs warn of possible surprises — from severe frosts to early spring.
The portal 93.RU has examined the most current forecasts and checked whether the proverb «February is harsh, yet short» will come true.
What Do Folk Signs Say?
Let«s start with folk wisdom. In the past, our ancestors used clues from nature on specific days to judge what the weather would be like in the near or distant future. Let»s look at popular folk signs.
November 8 — Dimitri«s Day
If it was cold and snowy on this day, then spring will be late and cold; if the weather was warm, then winter will be relatively warm and spring will come early.
This year on November 8 it was warm and sunny — up to +16 °C (61 °F). A weak wind was blowing. If you believe this sign, expect an early spring.
December 27 — Firs of Caesarea
In old times, they said: as Firs is, so will February be.
In Krasnodar on this day it was cold, with quite a lot of snow, which is unusual for the south. At night, thermometer readings dropped below 0 °C (32 °F), and during the day they reached only +2 °C (36 °F). So, it seems February will be cold.
January 25 — Tatiana«s Day
If Tatiana pours — spring is near; if Tatiana weaves — spring is far.
In Krasnodar on January 25, wet snow fell, and there was a slight frost outside. According to this sign, it«s not entirely clear when exactly spring will arrive.
Frosty January — to blizzards in February
January this year turned out cold and frosty, with snow lying in the city for more than two weeks and ice on the streets. So, we can expect blizzards in February.
This time, the signs are a bit ambiguous: on one hand, we might face an early spring. On the other — February will be quite cold and snowy. But one doesn«t preclude the other, especially with Krasnodar»s temperature swings. It wouldn«t surprise anyone if after a severe frost we wake up in a sunny and warm city.
What Does the Weather Forecast Say?
According to the preliminary forecast for the coming month, no severe frosts like in January are expected. However, there will be a lot of precipitation: rain and wet snow. But there«s good news, because most of the time the temperature will be above freezing.
No significant warming is anticipated yet, only at the beginning of the month for a few days the air will warm up to as high as +18 °C (64 °F).
According to Yandex«s average weather forecast over the last 10 years, February in Krasnodar is traditionally cloudy and rainy. The month has only 12 cloudy, 8 rainy, 5 clear, and 2 snowy days.
«In February, as well as in January, March, November, and December, Krasnodar is considered an uncomfortable place to visit,» say Yandex forecasters.
The average air temperature in February in Krasnodar is only +2 °C (36 °F). At night, temperatures can drop below zero, and during the day rise to +8 °C (46 °F) and above. Interestingly, in recent years the climate has been shifting toward cooling — previously, February was several degrees warmer.
Similar weather in February occurs in Prague, Tbilisi, Nalchik, and many cities in Crimea.
As 93.RU wrote, February frosts are already approaching the Krasnodar region. After a sharp warming, a wave of Arctic air will reach the Black Sea coast. It will bring snow, and temperatures will start to drop sharply. At the beginning of the month, nighttime frosts will reach -15 °C (5 °F).
